As I have learned the hard way, the science behind climate change has no more predictive real-world value than the science behind
The high cost of heeding climate science
COVID. When put to the test, scientists cannot tell you what will happen next year, let alone next century, but that does not stop them from pretending they can.
This shrinkage theory made sense until it didn’t. The “didn’t” period began about a year after shrinkage became settled science. By the time I made my decision not to build a wall in 2018, lake levels were back to their historic norms. By the summer of 2019, even The New York Times noticed that the lakes weren’t shrinking at all. They were growing. For all my distrust of climate change activists, I did not suspect they could be proven so spectacularly wrong so quickly.
Apparently, the climate science of 2013 was not exactly “settled.” Wrote the Times’ Mitch Smith in 2019, “The higher water, which set records this summer on some Great Lakes, could be part of an expensive new normal.” Left unsaid was that this “new normal” fully reversed the old “new normal” from just six years prior.
Whatever the trend, climate change activists have been quick to find a new, scary rationale to explain it. “Within about a decade, the Great Lakes have gone from record low levels to record high levels, a stunningly fast swing,” claimed the enlightened folks at the Alliance for the Great Lakes. A quick look at the charts shows this claim to be false for each of the Great Lakes, but I digress.
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